p. 65 Q Let me give you what we have marked as Exhibit No. 7. That’s a bulletin dated - - has two dates on it. One is an original and one is a revised publication. A Originally issued on November 6, 1958. Reissued again in February, 1965. Q And what’s the, the topic of this particular bulletin in 1965? A Plan for developing new products. Q Why don’t you tell the jury a little bit about why you thought new products were important to, at that time, U-Haul? A Businesses do not survive over the long term on a single product line. It is a well known business principle that products have a life cycle — Q What do you mean by life cycle? A Well, products have a life cycle of a sort, a life cycle of it’s marketability, follows an S curve like this (gestures with hand). Now it may have an awful long S curve. For instance, the automobile has been around basically the same from,19, maybe 16, as it is today, or maybe even 1900, not too much dif- ferent, same product, still there, and it is, but it is on an S curve. They go through pioneering, introduced to the public, through advertising, or however, and then take off and, and what is called exploitation stage, a stage where you make money, you create real wealth. Q The S curve you are talking about - - what is that curve indicating? A A time thing, a time thing. It took 27 years to pioneer the TV set. It took nine years to pioneer the zipper, no, no, probably took longer for the zipper. The ball-point pen was something like eight years before it got, before it got through the pioneering stage, in other words, being accepted and people are buying it in great quantities and you create wealth, actual wealth, and then soon you fall off into what flattens out and you are in competition, and the only thing you can get at that point is the cost of interest and labor. Q Did you notice S curves occurring within U-Haul? A Well, the S curve of the trailers and, and of the trucks, of course, I follow them carefully, but every product line had that, even small things like the hand truck didn’t start out suc- cessful. If it is a product that is needed and wanted, then you go into a great growth stage. It is called economic development, and that occurs if this is a successful product. And then of course it, when competition comes it smooths out and levels off, the curve - - it runs flat for a long, a long while, and then it disappears, the product will disappear from existence. Shoen v. Shoen, Testimony 1994
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